# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-07-22 · 17 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL22 · as_of 2026-10-24T00:25:30Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-07-22 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL22 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
ICE	ice	1	4	4	1	YYYY	0.63	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	9	6	0.67	nnYYYYnYY	0.57	hist	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	7	5	0.71	YYnYYnY	0.55	hist	yes
Bertha	bertha	1	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Tornado	tornado	1	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora	cyclospora|cyclosporiasis	1	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	2	0	0	nn	0.36	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	yes
Legionnaires	legionnaire	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	7	1	0.14	nYnnnnn	0.26	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	4	0	0	nnnn	0.25	hist	no
Benjamin / Netanyahu	benjamin|netanyahu	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no
LeBron	lebron	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Pentagon	pentagon	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	1	0	0			0.41	prior	no