# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-07-21 · 14 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL21 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:54:22Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-07-21 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26JUL21 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
ICE	ice	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.59	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	8	5	0.62	nnYYYYnY	0.53	hist	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	6	4	0.67	YYnYYn	0.51	hist	yes
Data Center	data center	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	0.28	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.27	hist	no
Acropolis	acropolis	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Bertha	bertha	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Legionnaires	legionnaire	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Paramount	paramount	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Tariff	tariff	1	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Tornado	tornado	1	0	0			0.4	prior	yes