# World News Tonight (world-news-tonight) · tv_episode 2026-08-20 · 19 words · K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG20 · as_of 2026-10-25T07:51:37Z
# scope K host_or_reporter · n/y settled before 2026-08-20 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG20 ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or reporter says {word} as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	20	13	0.65	YYYYYnYYnn	0.55	hist	no
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	29	19	0.66	YnnYnnnYnY	0.5	hist	yes
Moderna	moderna	1	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	no
North Korea / Kim Jong Un	kim jong un|north korea	1	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	no
FAA	faa	1	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	no
Ukraine / Ukrainian	ukraine|ukrainian	1	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.36	hist	no
Canada / Canadian	canada|canadian	1	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
ICE	ice	1	21	6	0.29	nnnnnYnnYn	0.29	hist	no
Meta / Facebook / Instagram	facebook|instagram|meta	1	2	0	0	nn	0.29	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	20	3	0.15	nYnYnnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	9	0	0	nnnnnnnnn	0.19	hist	no
El Nino / El Niño	el nino	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
IndyCar	indycar	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Melania	melania	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Prince Harry / Meghan Markle	meghan markle|prince harry	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Swalwell	swalwell	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Talarico	talarico	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Walmart	walmart	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no