# Winter Olympics (winter-olympics) · game 2026-02-18 · 15 words · K k:KXWOMENTION-26FEB18B · as_of 2026-10-24T17:20:02Z
# scope K any_official_commentator · n/y settled before 2026-02-18 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWOMENTION-26FEB18B ({word} = w of K rows): If any host or announcer says {word} as part of Olympics Men's Freeski Big Air: Final (Peacock), then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
2022	2022	3	3	1	YYY	0.76	hist	yes
Halfpipe	halfpipe	2	2	1	YY	0.71	hist	no
Train / Trained / Training	train|trained|training	1	1	1	Y	0.65	hist	yes
Goggle	goggle	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.6	hist	no
X Games	x game	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.6	hist	yes
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.45	hist	no
Lindsey Vonn	lindsey vonn	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.44	hist	no
Powder	powder	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.44	hist	yes
Red Bull	red bull	3	0	0	nnn	0.29	hist	no
2160	2160	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
2340	2340	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Eileen Gu	eileen gu	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Slopestyle	slopestyle	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Stomp / Stomps / Stomped	stomp|stomped	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Tweak / Tweaks / Tweaked	tweak|tweaked	0	0			0.56	prior	yes