# Kevin Warsh (kevin-warsh) · panel 2026-10-15 · 19 words · K k:KXWARSHMENTION-26OCT15 · as_of 2026-10-25T04:30:05Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-10-15 · tn/th last 3 transcripts of any kind 2026-06-17..2026-09-16 (under 2 panel transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWARSHMENTION-26OCT15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kevin Warsh says {word} as part of Fireside Chat with International Monetary Fund originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Productivity	productivity	1	4	4	1	YYYY	3	3	0.63	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	5	4	0.8	YnYYY	3	3	0.57	hist	yes
2008 / Financial Crisis	2008|financial crisis	1	2	2	1	YY	3	1	0.54	hist	yes
Forward Guidance	forward guidance	1	1	1	1	Y	3	3	0.49	hist	no
Price Stability / Stable Price	price stability|stable price	1	1	1	1	Y	3	3	0.49	hist	yes
Task Force	task force	1	1	1	1	Y	3	3	0.49	hist	yes
Layoff	layoff	1	1	1	1	Y	3	0	0.48	hist	no
Resilient / Resilience	resilience|resilient	1	1	1	1	Y	3	2	0.48	hist	yes
Independent / Independence	independence|independent	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	3	2	0.4	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	4	1	0.25	nnYn	3	0	0.34	hist	no
Balance Sheet	balance sheet	1	1	0	0	n	3	2	0.32	hist	no
Rate Hike / Hike Rate	hike rate|rate hike	1	1	0	0	n	3	0	0.32	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	3	0	0.29	hist	no
Stablecoin	stablecoin	1	3	0	0	nnn	3	0	0.26	hist	no
Recession	recession	1	4	0	0	nnnn	3	0	0.24	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	4	0	0	nnnn	3	1	0.24	hist	no
Dollar	dollar	1	0	0			3	1	0.39	prior	no
Inflation (5+ times)	inflation#5	5	0	0			3	3	0.39	prior	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	0	0			3	2	0.39	prior	no