# Kevin Warsh (kevin-warsh) · hearing 2026-07-14 · 20 words · K k:KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:05:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-14 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-06-17 (under 2 hearing transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kevin Warsh says {word} as part of House Committee on Financial Services - The Federal Reserve's Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	3	2	0.67	YnY	1	1	0.64	hist	yes
Productivity	productivity	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.59	hist	yes
Powell	powell	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.58	hist	no
Rate Cut / Cut Rate	cut rate|rate cut	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.58	hist	no
Trump	trump	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	0	0.55	hist	no
Deflation / Deflationary	deflation|deflationary	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.35	hist	no
Stablecoin	stablecoin	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.35	hist	no
Recession	recession	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.31	hist	no
Renovation	renovation	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.26	hist	no
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.23	hist	yes
Oil	oil	2	0	0	nn	1	1	0.23	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.23	hist	no
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	no
Layoff	layoff	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	yes
Raise / Hike	hike|raise	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	yes
Resilient / Resilience	resilience|resilient	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	yes
Restrictive	restrictive	0	0			1	1	0.43	prior	no
Shock	shock	0	0			1	1	0.43	prior	yes
Uncertainty	uncertainty	0	0			1	1	0.43	prior	no