# Kevin Warsh (kevin-warsh) · keynote 2026-07-01 · 15 words · K k:KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:05:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-01 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-06-17 (under 2 keynote transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWARSHMENTION-26JUL01 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kevin Warsh says {word} as part of Policy Panel Discussion - European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Powell	powell	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.53	hist	no
Productivity	productivity	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Rate Cut / Cut Rates	cut rate|rate cut	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.53	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	1	0.45	hist	yes
Trump	trump	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.45	hist	no
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.37	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.37	hist	no
Oil	oil	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.37	hist	no
Recession	recession	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.37	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.37	hist	no
Data	data	0	0			1	1	0.44	prior	yes
Deflation / Deflationary	deflation|deflationary	0	0			1	0	0.44	prior	no
Middle East	middle east	0	0			1	1	0.44	prior	no
Stablecoin	stablecoin	0	0			1	0	0.44	prior	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	0	0			1	0	0.44	prior	yes