# Kevin Warsh (kevin-warsh) · remarks 2026-08-28 · 43 words · K k:KXWARSHMENTION-26AUG28 · P p:what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-speech-at-jackson-hole-01 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:02:44Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-08-28 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2026-06-17..2026-07-29 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWARSHMENTION-26AUG28 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kevin Warsh says {word} as part of remarks at the 2026 Economic Policy Symposium , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-his-speech-at-jackson-hole-01 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
# rows 1-35 of 43 by p · more: offset=35 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Challenge	challenge	1	P	1	1	1	Y	2	0	0.62	hist	yes
Productivity	productivity	1	KP	3	3	1	YYY	2	2	0.61	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	1	K	2	2	1	YY	2	2	0.56	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	K	4	3	0.75	YnYY	2	2	0.55	hist	yes
2008 / Financial Crisis	2008|financial crisis	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	2	1	0.5	hist	yes
Independent / Independence	independence|independent	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	2	1	0.5	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	KP	3	1	0.33	nnY	2	0	0.4	hist	no
Powell	powell	1	K	3	1	0.33	Ynn	2	0	0.37	hist	no
Rate Cut / Cut Rate	cut rate|rate cut	1	K	3	1	0.33	Ynn	2	0	0.37	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	KP	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	2	0	0.33	hist	no
Stablecoin	stablecoin	1	K	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.3	hist	no
Oil	oil	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	2	1	0.27	hist	no
Recession	recession	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	2	0	0.27	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	2	1	0.27	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	K	0	0			2	0	0.41	prior	no
Balance Sheet	balance sheet	1	K	0	0			2	2	0.41	prior	no
Bond Market	bond market	1	K	0	0			2	1	0.41	prior	no
Footprint	footprint	1	K	0	0			2	0	0.41	prior	no
Forward Guidance	forward guidance	1	K	0	0			2	2	0.41	prior	yes
Gold	gold	1	KP	0	0			2	0	0.41	prior	no
Good Day	good day	1	KP	0	0			2	2	0.41	prior	no
Iran / Middle East	iran|middle east	1	K	0	0			2	1	0.41	prior	no
Price Stability / Stable Price	price stability|stable price	1	K	0	0			2	2	0.41	prior	yes
Quantitative Tightening / QT	qt|quantitative tightening	1	K	0	0			2	0	0.41	prior	no
Rate Hike / Hike Rate	hike rate|rate hike	1	K	0	0			2	0	0.41	prior	no
Stock Market	stock market	1	K	0	0			2	0	0.41	prior	no
Task Force	task force	1	K	0	0			2	2	0.41	prior	yes
Volcker	volcker	1	K	0	0			2	0	0.41	prior	no
Yield Curve	yield curve	1	K	0	0			2	0	0.41	prior	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times	ai|artificial intelligence#3	3	P	0	0			2	2	0.4	prior	yes
Bank / Asset 10+ times	asset|bank#10	10	P	0	0			2	1	0.4	prior	yes
CapEx / Capital Expenditure	capex|capital expenditure	1	P	0	0			2	1	0.4	prior	yes
Community	community	1	P	0	0			2	0	0.4	prior	no
Framework	framework	1	P	0	0			2	1	0.4	prior	no
Good Morning	good morning	1	P	0	0			2	0	0.4	prior	yes