# Tim Walz (tim-walz) · interview 2026-03-26 · 13 words · K k:KXWALZMENTION-26MAR26 · as_of 2026-10-25T01:13:43Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-26 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWALZMENTION-26MAR26 ({word} = w of K rows): If Tim Walz says {word} as part of MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	8	7	0.88	YYYYnYYY	0.63	hist	yes
Election	election	0	0			0.58	hist	yes
Homan	homan	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	6	4	0.67	YYYYnn	0.49	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.44	hist	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	7	3	0.43	YYnnnYn	0.39	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Iran	iran	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.34	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	0	0			0.28	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0			0.43	prior	no
TSA	tsa	0	0			0.43	prior	yes