# Tim Walz (tim-walz) · briefing 2026-03-06 · 12 words · K k:KXWALZMENTION-26MAR06 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:52:46Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-06 · tn/th blank: no briefing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWALZMENTION-26MAR06 ({word} = w of K rows): If Tim Walz says {word} as part of The Briefing With Jen Psaki, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	6	5	0.83	YYYYnY	0.63	hist	yes
Citizen / American	american|citizen	2	2	1	YY	0.6	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.59	hist	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0			0.54	hist	no
Investigate / Investigating / Investigation	investigate|investigating|investigation	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.52	hist	yes
Iran	iran	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
Peace / Peaceful	peace|peaceful	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.45	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	5	2	0.4	nnYYn	0.43	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.42	hist	yes
Republican	republican	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	0.4	hist	yes
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.39	hist	no
Renee / Pretti	pretti|renee	0	0			0.44	prior	yes