# Tim Walz (tim-walz) · interview 2026-01-29 · 15 words · K k:KXWALZMENTION-26JAN29 · as_of 2026-10-26T06:03:04Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-29 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWALZMENTION-26JAN29 ({word} = w of K rows): If Tim Walz says {word} as part of All in with Chris Hayes, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Fraud	fraud	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	hist	no
Trump	trump	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	hist	no
Citizen / American	american|citizen	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Noem	noem	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Nurse	nurse	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
Peace / Peaceful	peace|peaceful	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.47	hist	no
Race / Racism / Racist	race|racism|racist	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.44	hist	no
Republican	republican	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.44	hist	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.44	hist	no
Investigate / Investigating / Investigation	investigate|investigating|investigation	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.44	hist	yes
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.44	hist	no
SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare	medicaid|medicare|snap	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Crime / Criminal	crime|criminal	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Homan	homan	0	0			0.42	prior	yes