# Tim Walz (tim-walz) · presser 2026-01-26 · 13 words · K k:KXWALZMENTION-26JAN26 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:41:08Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-26 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWALZMENTION-26JAN26 ({word} = w of K rows): If Tim Walz says {word} as part of Press Conference on January 25th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	3	3	1	YYY	0.67	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	3	3	1	YYY	0.66	hist	yes
Race / Racism / Racist	race|racism|racist	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.55	hist	no
Republican	republican	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.55	hist	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.55	hist	no
Investigate / Investigating / Investigation	investigate|investigating|investigation	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	no
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.37	hist	yes
Citizen / American	american|citizen	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Noem	noem	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Nurse	nurse	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Peace / Peaceful	peace|peaceful	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
SNAP / Medicaid / Medicare	medicaid|medicare|snap	0	0			0.44	prior	no