# Tim Walz (tim-walz) · presser 2026-01-07 · 14 words · K k:KXWALZMENTION-26JAN07 · as_of 2026-10-24T04:45:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-07 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWALZMENTION-26JAN07 ({word} = w of K rows): If Tim Walz says {word} as part of press conference on January 6th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Campaign / Election	campaign|election	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Childcare / Child Care	child care|childcare	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	no
Race / Racism / Racist	race|racism|racist	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Republican	republican	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Taxpayer	taxpayer	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Billion	billion	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Shirley	shirley	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	0	0			0.42	prior	yes