# Christopher Waller (christopher-waller) · keynote 2026-10-08 · 16 words · K k:KXWALLERMENTION-26OCT08 · as_of 2026-10-27T02:23:35Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-10-08 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWALLERMENTION-26OCT08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Christopher Waller says {word} as part of remarks on Economic Outlook at the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (TCMB) İstanbul Economic Forum originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	3	3	1	YYY	0.68	hist	yes
Labor / Job	job|labor	3	3	1	YYY	0.65	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.58	hist	yes
Stablecoin	stablecoin	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.48	hist	no
Balance Sheet	balance sheet	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
Rate Hike / Hike Rate / Raise Rate	hike rate|raise rate|rate hike	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	yes
Warsh	warsh	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	6	3	0.5	YnnYYn	0.43	hist	yes
Productivity	productivity	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.39	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	2	1	0.5	nY	0.31	hist	yes
Monetary Policy	monetary policy	5	2	0.4	nnnYY	0.31	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Recession	recession	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	2	0	0	nn	0.2	hist	yes
Independent / Independence	independence|independent	0	0			0.36	prior	yes