# Christopher Waller (christopher-waller) · keynote 2026-05-19 · 12 words · K k:KXWALLERMENTION-26MAY19 · as_of 2026-10-24T03:45:01Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-19 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWALLERMENTION-26MAY19 ({word} = w of K rows): If Christopher Waller says {word} as part of Discussion At the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Crypto / Cryptocurrency	crypto|cryptocurrency	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	no
Productivity	productivity	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	no
Regulation / Regulatory	regulation|regulatory	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.29	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.21	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0			0.34	prior	yes
Automation / Autonomous	automation|autonomous	0	0			0.34	prior	no
Gold	gold	0	0			0.34	prior	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0			0.34	prior	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0			0.34	prior	no
Rate Cut / Cut Rate	cut rate|rate cut	0	0			0.34	prior	no
Stock Market	stock market	0	0			0.34	prior	no
Tariff	tariff	0	0			0.34	prior	yes