# Vlad Tenev (vlad-tenev) · podcast_episode 2026-02-12 · 10 words · K k:KXVLADTENEVMENTION-26FEB12 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:28:09Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-12 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-11-06..2025-12-17 (under 2 podcast episode transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVLADTENEVMENTION-26FEB12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Vladimir Tenev says {word} as part of TBPN Podcast, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Sport	sport	1	1	1	Y	2	2	0.49	hist	yes
Crypto	crypto	0	0			2	2	0.41	hist	yes
Kalshi	kalshi	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.28	hist	no
Retire / Retirement	retire|retirement	0	0			2	0	0.26	hist	yes
Tokenization	tokenization	0	0			2	1	0.26	hist	yes
Bitcoin	bitcoin	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.23	hist	no
Blockchain	blockchain	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.2	hist	no
Prediction Market	prediction market	0	0			2	2	0.36	prior	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0			2	2	0.31	prior	yes
Trump	trump	0	0			2	0	0.31	prior	no