# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-09-14 · 24 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26SEP14 · as_of 2026-10-24T03:01:20Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-14 · tn/th last 5 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-09-03 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26SEP14 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of remarks on the Trump Administration's crackdown on fraud in Kansas City , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	10	9	0.9	YYYYnYYYYY	5	0	0.73	no
Democrat	democrat	41	30	0.73	nYYnYYYYYY	5	4	0.65	yes
Biden	biden	58	38	0.66	nYYnnYYYYY	5	4	0.59	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	36	24	0.67	YYYYnnYYYY	5	3	0.58	no
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	8	5	0.62	YnYnYYYn	5	2	0.53	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	39	20	0.51	nYnYYYYnYY	5	3	0.53	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	13	8	0.62	nYYnYYYnYn	5	2	0.5	yes
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	15	10	0.67	YYYYYYYnnn	5	1	0.47	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	24	12	0.5	YYYYYnnYYn	5	3	0.47	no
Election	election	30	14	0.47	YYnnnYnYYY	5	1	0.47	yes
Taxpayer	taxpayer	3	2	0.67	YYn	5	4	0.46	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	28	12	0.43	YYnnYnYYnY	5	3	0.46	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	6	3	0.5	nYnYnY	5	4	0.45	no
California	california	18	10	0.56	YYnYYnnnYn	5	1	0.44	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	21	12	0.57	YYYnnYnnYn	5	1	0.42	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	18	7	0.39	nnnnYnnnYY	5	3	0.41	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	33	16	0.48	nYYYnYnnYY	5	4	0.4	no
Working Class / Middle Class	middle class|working class	15	4	0.27	nnnnYnnnYY	5	1	0.33	no
Save America Act	save america act	1	0	0	n	5	1	0.33	no
ID / Identification	id|identification	12	2	0.17	nnYnnnnnYn	5	1	0.25	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	45	8	0.18	nnnnnnYnYn	5	3	0.21	no
Food Stamp / SNAP	food stamp|snap	5	0	0	nnnnn	5	2	0.2	yes
America First	america first	38	5	0.13	nnnnnnYnnn	5	0	0.19	no
Radical Left	radical left	26	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	5	0	0.1	no