# JD Vance (jd-vance) · rally 2026-10-27 · 29 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT27 · as_of 2026-10-27T20:27:53Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-10-27 · tn/th last 5 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-09-03 (under 2 rally transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT27 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of midterm rally in Howell, Michigan originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	22	18	0.82	YYYYnYnYYY	5	0	0.69	yes
Biden	biden	75	52	0.69	YYYnYYnnYY	5	4	0.69	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	34	18	0.53	YYYYYYYYnn	5	3	0.66	yes
Social Security	social security	11	8	0.73	YYYYnYnYYY	5	2	0.63	yes
Fraud	fraud	53	32	0.6	YYnYYYnYYY	5	3	0.6	yes
Border	border	23	13	0.57	nYYnYYnYYY	5	2	0.58	yes
Auto Worker / Autoworker	auto worker|autoworker	1	1	1	Y	5	2	0.56	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	51	32	0.63	YYYnnYYnnn	5	3	0.56	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	55	30	0.55	nYnYYnYYnY	5	3	0.54	no
Steel	steel	8	5	0.62	YYnnYYnY	5	0	0.52	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	17	10	0.59	nnnYYYYYYn	5	4	0.52	yes
Working Class / Middle Class	middle class|working class	29	11	0.38	YYnnYnnnYY	5	1	0.48	yes
Inflation	inflation	30	18	0.6	YYYnYnnnYn	5	2	0.47	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	38	17	0.45	nnnYnnYYYY	5	3	0.43	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	20	8	0.4	YYYYnnnnnn	5	4	0.43	no
Healthcare	healthcare	44	19	0.43	YnnnnYnnnn	5	3	0.4	no
American Dream	american dream	42	22	0.52	YnnnYnnnYY	5	0	0.38	no
Electric Vehicle / EV	electric vehicle|ev	1	0	0	n	5	0	0.35	no
Ford / General Motors / GM	ford|general motor|gm	1	0	0	n	5	0	0.35	no
Midterm	midterm	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	5	1	0.34	no
Canada / Canadian	canada|canadian	2	0	0	nn	5	0	0.3	no
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	10	3	0.3	nnYnnYnnnY	5	2	0.29	no
Fake News	fake new	18	4	0.22	nnnYnYnnnn	5	0	0.29	no
America First	america first	54	9	0.17	nnYnnnnnYY	5	0	0.28	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	28	11	0.39	nnnnnYnnnn	5	2	0.27	no
Tariff	tariff	42	12	0.29	nnnnYnnnnn	5	1	0.25	no
Small Business	small business	13	3	0.23	nYnnnnnnnn	5	1	0.22	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	62	10	0.16	nnnnYnnnnn	5	3	0.17	no
Made in America / American Made	american made|made in america	19	1	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	5	0	0.12	no