# JD Vance (jd-vance) · rally 2026-10-19 · 27 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT19 · as_of 2026-10-24T02:06:57Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-10-19 · tn/th last 5 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-09-03 (under 2 rally transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26OCT19 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Midterm Rally in Hendersonville, North Carolina originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Democrat	democrat	53	42	0.79	YYYYYYYYYY	5	4	0.82	yes
Election	election	41	25	0.61	YYYYYYYYYY	5	1	0.75	yes
Biden	biden	70	49	0.7	YYYYYYYYnY	5	4	0.7	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	30	16	0.53	YYnYYYYYYY	5	3	0.68	yes
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	19	15	0.79	YnYYYYYnYn	5	0	0.64	yes
Steel	steel	6	4	0.67	YYnnYY	5	0	0.6	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	47	31	0.66	nYYYYYYnnY	5	3	0.6	yes
Fraud	fraud	49	29	0.59	YYYnYYnYYY	5	3	0.6	no
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	15	8	0.53	YnnnYYYYYn	5	4	0.56	no
Social Security	social security	8	5	0.62	nYYYYnYn	5	2	0.55	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	51	27	0.53	YYYnnYnYYn	5	3	0.53	yes
Working Class / Middle Class	middle class|working class	24	9	0.38	YnnYYYYnnY	5	1	0.51	no
Border	border	20	10	0.5	YnnnYYnYYn	5	2	0.5	yes
Inflation	inflation	27	17	0.63	nnnYYYnYnn	5	2	0.47	no
Healthcare	healthcare	39	18	0.46	YYYnYYnnnn	5	3	0.42	yes
American Dream	american dream	38	20	0.53	nYnnYnnnYn	5	0	0.35	no
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	7	2	0.29	nnYnnYn	5	2	0.35	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	35	14	0.4	nnnnnnYnnY	5	3	0.33	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	24	11	0.46	nYnnnnnnnY	5	2	0.32	no
Fake News	fake new	17	4	0.24	nnnnYnYnnn	5	0	0.32	no
Radical Left	radical left	34	3	0.09	nnnnYYYnnn	5	0	0.3	no
Small Business	small business	9	3	0.33	YnYnYnnnn	5	1	0.29	no
Tariff	tariff	39	12	0.31	YnnnnnnYnn	5	1	0.28	no
ID / Identification	id|identification	17	3	0.18	nnnYnnnYnn	5	1	0.27	no
America First	america first	49	7	0.14	nnYnnnnYnn	5	0	0.25	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	57	10	0.18	nnYnnnnnnY	5	3	0.2	no
Made in America / American Made	american made|made in america	16	1	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	5	0	0.13	no