# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-05-26 · 23 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY26 · as_of 2026-10-25T09:18:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-26 · tn/th last 3 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-05-19 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY26 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Roundtable on Anti-Fraud Initiatives , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	1	11	9	0.82	YnYnYYYYYY	3	1	0.68	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	36	28	0.78	nnYYYYYYYY	3	3	0.68	hist	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	15	10	0.67	nYnYYnYYYn	3	1	0.59	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	19	11	0.58	YnYnYYYYYY	3	2	0.59	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	3	2	0.52	hist	no
California	california	1	11	7	0.64	YYYnnnYYYn	3	1	0.52	hist	yes
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	1	5	3	0.6	YnYnY	3	1	0.52	hist	yes
Border	border	1	12	6	0.5	nYYYYnnnYn	3	2	0.49	hist	no
Hospice	hospice	1	2	1	0.5	nY	3	1	0.45	hist	yes
Autism / Autistic	autism|autistic	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	3	0	0.39	hist	no
Newsom	newsom	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	3	0	0.38	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	19	7	0.37	nYnYnnnYnY	3	2	0.36	hist	yes
Shirley	shirley	1	1	0	0	n	3	0	0.36	hist	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	19	8	0.42	nYYnnnnYnY	3	2	0.35	hist	no
SNAP / Food Stamp	food stamp|snap	1	2	0	0	nn	3	1	0.32	hist	no
Daycare / Childcare	childcare|daycare	1	2	0	0	nn	3	1	0.3	hist	no
Learing	learing	1	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	3	0	0.28	hist	no
Democrat (3+ times)	democrat#3	3	2	0	0	nn	3	3	0.28	hist	no
PPP / Paycheck Protection Program	paycheck protection program|ppp	1	2	0	0	nn	3	0	0.28	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	17	2	0.12	nnnnnnnnnn	3	0	0.17	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	16	3	0.19	nnnnnnnnnn	3	1	0.16	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	27	4	0.15	YnnnnnnnnY	3	2	0.15	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	0	0			3	0	0.42	prior	no