# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-05-14 · 49 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY14 · P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-bangor · as_of 2026-10-24T14:27:54Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-05-14 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-01-08 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY14 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Remarks in Maine , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-bangor (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during events in Maine scheduled for May 14, 2026.
# rows 1-34 of 49 by p · more: offset=34 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
American Dream	american dream	1	K	18	15	0.83	YYYYYYnYYY	2	0	0.68	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	K	16	12	0.75	YnYYYnYYYY	2	2	0.63	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	K	32	24	0.75	nYYnnnYYYY	2	2	0.6	hist	yes
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	1	K	8	6	0.75	YYnYnYYY	2	1	0.6	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	K	21	15	0.71	YYYnYnnYnY	2	2	0.56	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	K	16	10	0.62	nnYnYnnYYY	2	1	0.56	hist	yes
Trump 5+ times	trump#5	5	P	1	1	1	Y	2	0	0.54	hist	yes
Campaign	campaign	1	K	2	2	1	YY	2	0	0.52	hist	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	K	2	2	1	YY	2	0	0.52	hist	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	K	11	7	0.64	YYYnnYnYYn	2	1	0.52	hist	yes
Taxpayer	taxpayer	1	P	1	1	1	Y	2	2	0.51	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	8	4	0.5	nnnYYYYn	2	1	0.5	hist	no
Election	election	1	K	11	6	0.55	nnYYnYnYnY	2	0	0.49	hist	no
Autism	autism	1	K	2	1	0.5	nY	2	0	0.49	hist	yes
China	china	1	P	15	7	0.47	nYnnnYnYYY	2	0	0.49	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	K	15	7	0.47	nnnYYnYnYY	2	1	0.48	hist	yes
California	california	1	K	8	5	0.62	YYYYnnnY	2	1	0.47	hist	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	1	K	13	8	0.62	YnnnYYnYnY	2	0	0.46	hist	no
SAVE Act / SAVE America	save act|save america	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	2	0	0.37	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	K	22	8	0.36	nYnnnYnYnY	2	0	0.36	hist	no
Illegal	illegal	1	P	1	0	0	n	2	2	0.36	hist	yes
Working class	working class	1	P	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.36	hist	no
Ukraine	ukraine	1	P	3	1	0.33	Ynn	2	0	0.33	hist	no
Bilateral	bilateral	1	P	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.33	hist	no
Bipartisan	bipartisan	1	P	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.33	hist	no
Transgender	transgender	1	K	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.28	hist	no
ID / Identification	id|identification	1	K	7	1	0.14	nnnnYnn	2	0	0.24	hist	no
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech	free speech|freedom of speech	1	K	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.23	hist	no
America First	america first	1	K	18	3	0.17	nnnnnnnnnn	2	0	0.21	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	K	13	2	0.15	YnnYnnnnnn	2	0	0.21	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	K	3	0	0	nnn	2	0	0.21	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	K	13	3	0.23	nnnnnnnnnn	2	1	0.19	hist	no
Epic Fury	epic fury	1	K	6	0	0	nnnnnn	2	0	0.16	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	K	23	3	0.13	nnnnYnnnnn	2	1	0.13	hist	no