# JD Vance (jd-vance) · presser 2026-05-13 · 19 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY13 · as_of 2026-10-25T07:22:46Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-13 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-01-08 (under 2 presser transcripts) · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26MAY13 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Press Conference on Anti-Fraud Initiatives , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	1	7	5	0.71	YYnYnYY	2	1	0.56	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	10	7	0.7	YYYYnnYnYY	2	1	0.56	no
Biden	biden	1	31	23	0.74	YnYYnnnYYY	2	2	0.52	yes
California	california	1	7	4	0.57	YYYYnnn	2	1	0.49	yes
Border	border	1	9	5	0.56	nYnYYYYnn	2	1	0.49	no
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	1	4	2	0.5	YnYn	2	0	0.47	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	14	6	0.43	nnnnYYnYnY	2	1	0.46	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	14	6	0.43	nYnnYnYYnn	2	1	0.43	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	16	5	0.31	YnnnYnYnnn	2	1	0.39	yes
Democrat (3+ times)	democrat#3	3	1	0	0	n	2	2	0.38	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	1	0	0	n	2	1	0.38	yes
PPP / Paycheck Protection Program	paycheck protection program|ppp	1	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.38	no
Daycare / Childcare	childcare|daycare	1	1	0	0	n	2	1	0.37	no
Hospice	hospice	1	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.37	yes
Learing	learing	1	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	2	0	0.34	no
Newsom	newsom	1	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.33	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	12	2	0.17	nYnnYnnnnn	2	0	0.29	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	12	3	0.25	Ynnnnnnnnn	2	1	0.26	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	22	3	0.14	nnnnnYnnnn	2	1	0.25	no