# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-03-27 · 20 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26MAR27 · as_of 2026-10-25T06:47:44Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-27 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-01-08 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26MAR27 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Meeting of the Task Force to Eliminate Fraud, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
California	california	1	4	4	1	YYYY	2	1	0.66	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	24	19	0.79	YYYnYnYYnY	2	2	0.65	hist	yes
Border	border	1	7	5	0.71	nYnYYYY	2	1	0.63	hist	no
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	2	1	0.54	hist	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	6	4	0.67	YYYYnn	2	1	0.52	hist	yes
Iran	iran	1	6	3	0.5	YnnYnY	2	0	0.49	hist	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	6	3	0.5	nYYnnY	2	1	0.49	hist	no
Learing	learing	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	2	0	0.45	hist	no
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	2	0	0.45	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	6	2	0.33	YnnYnn	2	1	0.39	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	4	1	0.25	nnnY	2	0	0.38	hist	no
Autism	autism	1	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.38	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	14	5	0.36	nYYnnnYnYn	2	1	0.37	hist	no
Daycare	daycare	1	0	0			2	1	0.37	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	8	3	0.38	YYYnnnnn	2	1	0.33	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	15	2	0.13	nnnnnnnnnn	2	1	0.15	hist	no
Democrat (3+ times)	democrat#3	3	0	0			2	2	0.44	prior	no
Newsom	newsom	1	0	0			2	0	0.44	prior	no
PPP / Paycheck Protection Program	paycheck protection program|ppp	1	0	0			2	0	0.44	prior	no
TSA	tsa	1	0	0			2	0	0.44	prior	no