# JD Vance (jd-vance) · presser 2026-06-04 · 23 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26JUN04 · as_of 2026-10-24T07:28:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-04 · tn/th last 3 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-05-19 (under 2 presser transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K, res void · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26JUN04 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Press Conference on Federal Enforcement Actions , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	1	12	10	0.83	nYnYYYYYYY	3	1	0.65	hist
California	california	1	12	8	0.67	YYnnnYYYnY	3	1	0.6	hist
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	1	6	4	0.67	YnYnYY	3	1	0.59	hist
Hospice	hospice	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	3	1	0.55	hist
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	5	3	0.6	nYYnY	3	2	0.55	hist
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	20	11	0.55	nYnYYYYYYn	3	2	0.55	hist
Biden	biden	1	38	28	0.74	YYYYYYYYnn	3	3	0.53	hist
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	2	1	0.5	nY	3	1	0.51	hist
Healthcare	healthcare	1	20	8	0.4	YnYnnnYnYY	3	2	0.5	hist
DOJ / FBI	doj|fbi	1	0	0			3	0	0.5	hist
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	16	10	0.62	YnYYnYYYnn	3	1	0.47	hist
Newsom	newsom	1	4	1	0.25	nnYn	3	0	0.41	hist
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	20	8	0.4	YYnnnnYnYn	3	2	0.38	hist
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	1	0	0	n	3	0	0.38	hist
Autism / Autistic	autism|autistic	1	4	1	0.25	nYnn	3	0	0.37	hist
SNAP / Food Stamp	food stamp|snap	1	3	0	0	nnn	3	1	0.31	hist
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	29	5	0.17	nnnnnnnYnY	3	2	0.28	hist
Democrat (3+ times)	democrat#3	3	3	0	0	nnn	3	3	0.28	hist
Learing	learing	1	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	3	0	0.27	hist
Daycare / Childcare	childcare|daycare	1	3	0	0	nnn	3	1	0.27	hist
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	18	2	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	3	0	0.22	hist
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	17	3	0.18	nnnnnnnnnn	3	1	0.19	hist
Vivek / Ramaswamy	ramaswamy|vivek	1	0	0			3	0	0.46	prior