# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-07-08 · 45 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26JUL08 · P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-milwaukee-20260707201847856 · as_of 2026-10-24T17:25:50Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-07-08 · tn/th last 4 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-06-18 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26JUL08 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of remarks on the Trump Administration's work to combat fraud , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-milwaukee-20260707201847856 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during remarks in Milwaukee scheduled for July 8, 2026.
# rows 1-32 of 45 by p · more: offset=32 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	1	K	13	10	0.77	YnYYYYYYYn	4	1	0.54	hist	no
Job	job	1	P	1	1	1	Y	4	4	0.53	hist	yes
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	1	K	6	4	0.67	YnYnYY	4	1	0.52	hist	yes
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	1	K	1	1	1	Y	4	1	0.5	hist	yes
Walz	walz	1	K	3	2	0.67	nYY	4	1	0.5	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	K	27	17	0.63	nYYnYnnnnY	4	2	0.49	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	K	50	32	0.64	nYnYnnnnnY	4	3	0.48	hist	yes
Trump 15+ times	trump#15	15	P	1	1	1	Y	4	0	0.45	hist	no
Somalia / Somalian / Somali	somali|somalia|somalian	1	K	18	11	0.61	YYnYYYnnYn	4	1	0.45	hist	no
Economy	economy	1	P	6	3	0.5	YnnYYn	4	3	0.44	hist	no
California	california	1	K	16	9	0.56	nYYYnYYnnn	4	1	0.42	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	K	30	13	0.43	nnnYnnnYnn	4	2	0.41	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	K	15	6	0.4	nnnYYnnYYY	4	2	0.4	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	K	29	14	0.48	nnYYnYYYnY	4	3	0.36	hist	no
Election	election	1	KP	21	9	0.43	nYnYnnnnnY	4	0	0.36	hist	yes
Ass	ass	1	P	6	2	0.33	nYnnnY	4	0	0.35	hist	yes
Six Seven	six seven	1	P	1	0	0	n	4	0	0.35	hist	no
Social Security	social security	1	P	1	0	0	n	4	1	0.35	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	K	22	8	0.36	YnnnYnYYnn	4	2	0.34	hist	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	K	3	1	0.33	Ynn	4	2	0.33	hist	no
Communist / Communism	communism|communist	1	K	1	0	0	n	4	1	0.33	hist	no
Mitigate	mitigate	1	P	1	0	0	n	4	0	0.33	hist	no
Democrat (3+ times)	democrat#3	3	K	4	1	0.25	nnnY	4	3	0.32	hist	yes
Lamborghini / Ferrari	ferrari|lamborghini	1	K	0	0			4	0	0.32	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	1	K	12	4	0.33	nnYnnYnnnn	4	2	0.31	hist	yes
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	K	1	0	0	n	4	0	0.31	hist	no
Common Sense	common sense	1	K	1	0	0	n	4	0	0.3	hist	no
Bipartisan	bipartisan	1	P	2	0	0	nn	4	0	0.27	hist	yes
Newsom	newsom	1	K	6	1	0.17	nnYnnn	4	0	0.22	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	K	27	6	0.22	nYYYnnnYnn	4	1	0.21	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	1	K	6	0	0	nnnnnn	4	0	0.2	hist	no
Corruption	corruption	1	P	0	0			4	0	0.2	hist	no