# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-01-23 · 37 words in 38 rows (listings that settled differently) · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26JAN23 · P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-at-the-march-for-life-on-friday · as_of 2026-10-25T08:33:25Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-01-23 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-01-08 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26JAN23 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of remarks in Toledo, Ohio, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-at-the-march-for-life-on-friday (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vance says the listed term during the event on January 23, 2026.
# rows 1-34 of 38 by p · more: offset=34 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
American Dream	american dream	1	K	10	8	0.8	nYnYYYYYYY	2	0	0.7	hist	yes
God 3+ times	god#3	3	P	5	5	1	YYYYY	2	0	0.68	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	1	K	7	6	0.86	YYnYYYY	2	0	0.63	hist	yes
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	1	K	2	2	1	YY	2	0	0.6	hist	yes
Border	border	1	K	6	4	0.67	nYnYYY	2	1	0.58	hist	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	1	K	1	1	1	Y	2	2	0.54	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	K	1	1	1	Y	2	1	0.52	hist	yes
Economy	economy	1	K	5	3	0.6	YnnYY	2	1	0.51	hist	no
Housing / Home	home|housing	1	P	1	1	1	Y	2	1	0.49	hist	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	1	K	6	4	0.67	YYYYnn	2	0	0.46	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	K	7	4	0.57	YYnYnYn	2	0	0.46	hist	yes
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	2	0	0.44	hist	yes
Woke / DEI	dei|woke	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	2	0	0.43	hist	no
Usha	usha	1	P	3	1	0.33	nnY	2	0	0.43	hist	yes
America First	america first	1	K	9	3	0.33	nYnnnYYnn	2	0	0.39	hist	no
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	1	K	0	0			2	1	0.36	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	K	10	3	0.3	nnnYnYYnnn	2	1	0.34	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	P	10	3	0.3	nnnYnYYnnn	2	1	0.33	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	12	4	0.33	nnYnYYnnnn	2	0	0.31	hist	no
Peace	peace	1	K	5	1	0.2	nnnnY	2	1	0.29	hist	yes
Working Class / Middle Class	middle class|working class	1	K	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	2	0	0.29	hist	no
China	china	1	K	10	3	0.3	YYnnnnYnnn	2	0	0.28	hist	yes
Working class	working class	1	P	0	0			2	0	0.28	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	1	P	3	0	0	nnn	2	0	0.27	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	K	9	2	0.22	YnYnnnnnn	2	1	0.23	hist	no
Radical Left	radical left	1	K	11	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	2	0	0.13	hist	no
Abortion Clinic	abortion clinic	1	P	0	0			2	0	0.4	prior	no
Afford / Affordable 5+ times	afford|affordable#5	5	P	0	0			2	0	0.4	prior	no
America / American 20+ times	america|american#20	20	P	0	0			2	2	0.4	prior	no
Christian	christian	1	P	0	0			2	0	0.4	prior	yes
Dobbs	dobb	1	P	0	0			2	0	0.4	prior	yes
Far-Left	far left	1	P	0	0			2	2	0.4	prior	yes
Heinous	heinous	1	P	0	0			2	0	0.4	prior	no
Innocent Life	innocent life	1	P	0	0			2	0	0.4	prior	no