# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-02-27 · 25 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26FEB27 · as_of 2026-10-24T03:01:20Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-27 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-01-08 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26FEB27 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Remarks in Plover, Wisconsin, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
American Dream	american dream	11	9	0.82	YnYYYYYYYY	2	0	0.72	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	11	9	0.82	nYYYYYYnYY	2	2	0.69	hist	yes
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	3	3	1	YYY	2	0	0.66	hist	yes
Biden	biden	18	15	0.83	YYnYYYYYYn	2	2	0.66	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	10	8	0.8	YYnYYYYYnY	2	0	0.64	hist	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	3	3	1	YYY	2	1	0.63	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	2	1	0.61	hist	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	10	7	0.7	YYYnYnYnYY	2	2	0.56	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	4	3	0.75	YYYn	2	1	0.54	hist	no
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	1	1	1	Y	2	1	0.52	hist	no
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	1	1	1	Y	2	1	0.52	hist	yes
Olympic / Olympics	olympic	1	1	1	Y	2	0	0.52	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	0	0			2	1	0.52	hist	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	0	0			2	0	0.51	hist	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	8	5	0.62	YYYYnnnY	2	0	0.44	hist	yes
Election	election	6	3	0.5	YnnYYn	2	0	0.43	hist	yes
China	china	13	5	0.38	nnnYnnnYnY	2	0	0.38	hist	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	1	0	0	n	2	1	0.35	hist	yes
ID / Identification	id|identification	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.35	hist	no
Middle Class	middle class	4	1	0.25	nnnY	2	0	0.33	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	15	5	0.33	nYYnnnnnYn	2	0	0.3	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	5	0	0	nnnnn	2	0	0.23	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	11	2	0.18	nYnnnnnnnn	2	1	0.2	hist	no
Radical Left	radical left	16	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	2	0	0.12	hist	no
Made in America / American Made	american made|made in america	0	0			2	0	0.42	prior	no