# JD Vance (jd-vance) · speech 2026-02-05 · 14 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26FEB05 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:40:00Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-05 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-01-08 (under 2 speech transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26FEB05 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Critical Minerals Ministerial, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Biden	biden	15	13	0.87	YYYYYnYYYY	2	2	0.74	yes
Democrat	democrat	8	7	0.88	YnYYYYYY	2	2	0.71	no
Inflation	inflation	8	7	0.88	YYnYYYYY	2	0	0.67	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	8	5	0.62	YYnYnYnY	2	0	0.54	no
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	3	2	0.67	YnY	2	0	0.53	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	1	1	Y	2	0	0.52	no
Energy	energy	3	2	0.67	YnY	2	0	0.52	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	7	4	0.57	YYYYnnn	2	0	0.43	yes
China	china	11	4	0.36	YnnnnYnnnY	2	0	0.39	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	0	0	n	2	1	0.37	no
Tariff	tariff	13	4	0.31	nYnYYnnnnn	2	0	0.34	yes
America First	america first	11	3	0.27	YnnnYYnnnn	2	0	0.3	no
Trillion	trillion	3	0	0	nnn	2	0	0.3	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	10	2	0.2	YnYnnnnnnn	2	1	0.27	no