# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-08-31 · 36 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26AUG31 · P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-sterling-heights · as_of 2026-10-24T12:43:16Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-08-31 · tn/th last 4 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-06-18 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26AUG31 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Remarks in Sterling Heights , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-sterling-heights (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance.
# rows 1-33 of 36 by p · more: offset=33 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	1	K	8	7	0.88	YYYYnYYY	4	0	0.68	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	1	KP	15	12	0.8	YYYnYYYYYn	4	1	0.62	hist	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	K	13	9	0.69	YYYnYYnnYY	4	1	0.62	hist	no
Steel	steel	1	K	2	2	1	YY	4	0	0.61	hist	no
Far Left	far left	1	P	2	2	1	YY	4	2	0.6	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	K	38	27	0.71	nnYnYYnYYY	4	3	0.6	hist	yes
Trump 10+ times	trump#10	10	P	4	3	0.75	YnYY	4	1	0.58	hist	no
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	1	K	2	2	1	YY	4	0	0.57	hist	no
Democrat 12+ times	democrat#12	12	P	1	1	1	Y	4	1	0.56	hist	no
Hell	hell	1	P	1	1	1	Y	4	3	0.56	hist	yes
Job 8+ times	job#8	8	P	1	1	1	Y	4	2	0.56	hist	yes
Vote	vote	1	P	1	1	1	Y	4	3	0.56	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	K	10	7	0.7	YYnnYYnYYY	4	1	0.56	hist	no
Small Business	small business	1	P	3	2	0.67	YnY	4	1	0.55	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	K	55	35	0.64	nnnnYYnnYY	4	3	0.54	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	K	36	18	0.5	nYnnYnYYYY	4	2	0.54	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	K	12	9	0.75	YnYYYYYYYn	4	3	0.53	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	KP	33	21	0.64	nnnYYYYnnY	4	2	0.53	hist	yes
Border	border	1	K	16	8	0.5	YnnnYnnnYY	4	2	0.5	hist	no
Manufacturing	manufacturing	1	K	19	11	0.58	nYnYnnYnYY	4	1	0.48	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	K	26	11	0.42	YnYYnnYnYY	4	2	0.48	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	1	K	37	19	0.51	nnnnnYYYnY	4	2	0.47	hist	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	1	KP	4	2	0.5	nYnY	4	3	0.47	hist	no
God 4+ times	god#4	4	P	2	1	0.5	Yn	4	1	0.44	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	KP	21	10	0.48	nYYYYYYYnn	4	2	0.43	hist	yes
Election	election	1	K	27	11	0.41	nnnYYnnnYn	4	0	0.39	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	28	10	0.36	nYnYnnnnYY	4	0	0.38	hist	no
Ass	ass	1	P	9	3	0.33	nYnnnYYnn	4	0	0.35	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	K	31	14	0.45	YYnYYYnYnn	4	3	0.33	hist	yes
Made in America / American Made	american made|made in america	1	K	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	4	0	0.28	hist	no
Autism / Autistic	autism|autistic	1	K	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	4	0	0.26	hist	no
Working Class / Middle Class	middle class|working class	1	KP	12	2	0.17	nnnnnnnYnn	4	0	0.26	hist	no
America First	america first	1	KP	35	5	0.14	nnnnnnnnnY	4	0	0.21	hist	no