# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-08-24 · 34 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26AUG24 · P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-maine · as_of 2026-10-24T18:13:18Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-08-24 · tn/th last 4 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-06-18 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26AUG24 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of remarks at a manufacturing facility in Maine , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-maine (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance.
# rows 1-32 of 34 by p · more: offset=32 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Inflation	inflation	1	K	14	12	0.86	YYYYnYYYYY	4	1	0.7	hist	no
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	1	KP	7	6	0.86	YYYYnYY	4	0	0.64	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	K	11	9	0.82	YYnYYYYYYY	4	3	0.6	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	K	37	26	0.7	YnnYnYYnYY	4	3	0.58	hist	yes
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	1	K	7	5	0.71	YnYYYnY	4	1	0.57	hist	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	K	12	8	0.67	nYYYnYYnnY	4	1	0.57	hist	yes
Tax 5+ times	tax#5	5	P	1	1	1	Y	4	1	0.54	hist	yes
Steel	steel	1	K	1	1	1	Y	4	0	0.52	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	K	9	6	0.67	YYnnYYnYY	4	1	0.51	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	K	54	34	0.63	nnnnnYYnnY	4	3	0.51	hist	yes
Lobster	lobster	1	K	1	1	1	Y	4	0	0.5	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	K	35	17	0.49	nnYnnYnYYY	4	2	0.5	hist	yes
Lunatic / Crazy	crazy|lunatic	1	P	1	1	1	Y	4	2	0.49	hist	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	KP	32	20	0.62	nnnnYYYYnn	4	2	0.49	hist	yes
Border 5+ times	border#5	5	P	2	2	1	YY	4	0	0.48	hist	yes
Trump 10+ times	trump#10	10	P	3	2	0.67	YnY	4	1	0.48	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	KP	20	10	0.5	nnYYYYYYYn	4	2	0.47	hist	no
Border	border	1	K	15	7	0.47	YYnnnYnnnY	4	2	0.45	hist	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	1	K	18	10	0.56	YnYnYnnYnY	4	1	0.44	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	K	36	18	0.5	nnnnnnYYYn	4	2	0.43	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	KP	25	10	0.4	nYnYYnnYnY	4	2	0.43	hist	yes
Election	election	1	K	26	11	0.42	nnnnYYnnnY	4	0	0.42	hist	no
Small Business	small business	1	KP	2	1	0.5	Yn	4	1	0.4	hist	yes
Ass	ass	1	P	8	3	0.38	nYnnnYYn	4	0	0.39	hist	no
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	1	KP	3	1	0.33	nYn	4	3	0.36	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	27	9	0.33	YnYnYnnnnY	4	0	0.33	hist	yes
Made in America / American Made	american made|made in america	1	K	4	1	0.25	nnYn	4	0	0.32	hist	no
Graham / Platner	graham|platner	1	K	1	0	0	n	4	1	0.32	hist	no
Working Class / Middle Class	middle class|working class	1	KP	11	2	0.18	YnnnnnnnYn	4	0	0.29	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	42	7	0.17	nnYnnnnnnY	4	2	0.26	hist	no
America First	america first	1	K	34	4	0.12	Ynnnnnnnnn	4	0	0.14	hist	yes
Family 5+ times	family#5	5	P	0	0			4	1	0.42	prior	yes