# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-08-21 · 38 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26AUG21 · P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-ohio · as_of 2026-10-24T11:47:10Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-08-21 · tn/th last 4 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-06-18 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26AUG21 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of remarks on the Trump Administration's America First economic agenda , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-ohio (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance.
# rows 1-32 of 38 by p · more: offset=32 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Inflation	inflation	1	KP	13	11	0.85	YYYYYnYYYY	4	1	0.67	hist	yes
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	1	K	6	5	0.83	YYYYnY	4	0	0.59	hist	yes
Iran	iran	1	P	14	8	0.57	nYnnYnYYYY	4	2	0.59	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	K	36	25	0.69	nYnnYnYYnY	4	3	0.55	hist	yes
God 4+ times	god#4	4	P	1	1	1	Y	4	1	0.53	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	K	31	20	0.65	YnnnnYYYYn	4	2	0.53	hist	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	K	11	7	0.64	YnYYYnYYnn	4	1	0.52	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	KP	19	10	0.53	YnnYYYYYYY	4	2	0.51	hist	no
Far Left	far left	1	P	1	1	1	Y	4	2	0.5	hist	yes
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	1	K	6	4	0.67	YnYYYn	4	1	0.5	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	K	53	33	0.62	YnnnnnYYnn	4	3	0.48	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	KP	34	16	0.47	nnnYnnYnYY	4	2	0.47	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	K	8	5	0.62	YYnnYYnY	4	1	0.46	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	K	35	18	0.51	nnnnnnnYYY	4	2	0.46	hist	no
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	1	K	2	1	0.5	nY	4	3	0.44	hist	no
Ass	ass	1	P	7	3	0.43	nYnnnYY	4	0	0.44	hist	no
Trump 5+ times	trump#5	5	P	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	4	1	0.43	hist	no
Border	border	1	K	14	6	0.43	YYYnnnYnnn	4	2	0.39	hist	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	1	K	17	9	0.53	YYnYnYnnYn	4	1	0.38	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	K	24	9	0.38	nnYnYYnnYn	4	2	0.38	hist	yes
Election	election	1	K	25	10	0.4	nnnnnYYnnn	4	0	0.37	hist	yes
Made in America / American Made	american made|made in america	1	K	3	1	0.33	nnY	4	0	0.37	hist	no
Working Class / Middle Class	middle class|working class	1	K	10	2	0.2	nYnnnnnnnY	4	0	0.32	hist	no
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	1	K	6	1	0.17	Ynnnnn	4	0	0.29	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	K	26	8	0.31	nYnYnYnnnn	4	0	0.27	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	1	K	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	4	0	0.19	hist	no
America First	america first	1	KP	33	4	0.12	nYnnnnnnnn	4	0	0.14	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	K	41	6	0.15	nnnYnnnnnn	4	2	0.13	hist	yes
Radical Left	radical left	1	K	23	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	4	0	0.11	hist	no
Blue	blue	1	P	0	0			4	3	0.42	prior	no
Cincinnati	cincinnati	1	P	0	0			4	0	0.42	prior	no
Democrat 12+ times	democrat#12	12	P	0	0			4	1	0.42	prior	yes