# JD Vance (jd-vance) · interview 2026-08-08 · 25 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26AUG08 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:34:49Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-08-08 · tn/th last 4 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-06-18 (under 2 interview transcripts) · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26AUG08 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Fox News: Saturday in America, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	10	8	0.8	nYYnYYYYYY	4	3	0.66	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	9	7	0.78	YYnYYYnYY	4	1	0.63	no
SAVE Act / SAVE America Act	save act|save america act	1	2	2	1	YY	4	1	0.55	yes
Taxpayer	taxpayer	1	2	2	1	YY	4	3	0.54	no
Democrat	democrat	1	35	24	0.69	YnYnnYnYYn	4	3	0.53	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	29	19	0.66	YnYnnnnYYY	4	2	0.53	yes
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	1	7	5	0.71	YnYnYYY	4	1	0.52	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	14	8	0.57	YYYnnnYYYY	4	3	0.52	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	20	12	0.6	nYYYnnYnnY	4	1	0.51	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	17	8	0.47	nYYnnYYYYY	4	2	0.49	yes
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	1	14	10	0.71	nYYYYYYYnn	4	1	0.48	no
Biden	biden	1	52	33	0.63	nYnnnnnYYn	4	3	0.42	no
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	1	5	2	0.4	nnYYn	4	4	0.39	no
Election	election	1	23	10	0.43	nYnnnnnYYn	4	0	0.36	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	23	9	0.39	nnnYnYYnnY	4	2	0.35	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	13	4	0.31	YnYnnnnYYn	4	1	0.35	yes
Constitution / Constitutional	constitution|constitutional	1	0	0			4	2	0.35	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	29	7	0.24	YYnnnYnnnY	4	1	0.34	no
Fraud	fraud	1	33	16	0.48	nnnnnnnnnY	4	2	0.33	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	1	14	5	0.36	YnnYnnnnYn	4	2	0.31	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	6	2	0.33	nYnnnY	4	2	0.31	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	32	14	0.44	nYnnnYnnYn	4	2	0.3	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	39	6	0.15	nnnnnYnnnn	4	2	0.19	no
Transgender / Trans	tran|transgender	1	0	0			4	0	0.19	no
America First	america first	1	31	4	0.13	nnnYnnnnnn	4	0	0.16	no