# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-04-30 · 26 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26APR30 · as_of 2026-10-25T10:40:18Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-30 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-01-08 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist, res void · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26APR30 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Turning Point Tour at Iowa State University , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p
American Dream	american dream	17	14	0.82	YYYYYYYnYY	2	0	0.73
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	15	11	0.73	nYnYYYnYYY	2	2	0.67
College / University	college|university	2	2	1	YY	2	0	0.61
Biden	biden	30	22	0.73	YYnYYnnnYY	2	2	0.61
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	6	4	0.67	YYnYnY	2	1	0.6
Democrat	democrat	20	14	0.7	YYYYnYnnYn	2	2	0.58
Fraud	fraud	15	9	0.6	YnnYnYnnYY	2	1	0.58
Usha	usha	7	4	0.57	nnYYYYn	2	0	0.58
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	9	6	0.67	YYYYnnYnY	2	1	0.57
Campaign	campaign	1	1	1	Y	2	0	0.55
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	1	1	Y	2	0	0.55
SAVE Act / SAVE America	save act|save america	1	1	1	Y	2	0	0.55
Election	election	10	5	0.5	YnnYYnYnYn	2	0	0.49
Manufacturing	manufacturing	12	7	0.58	YYnnnYYnYn	2	0	0.45
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	13	6	0.46	nnYnnYnYYn	2	1	0.45
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	13	5	0.38	YnnnnYYnYn	2	1	0.44
Uranium	uranium	3	1	0.33	nYn	2	0	0.38
Tariff	tariff	21	7	0.33	nnYnnnYnYn	2	0	0.34
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech	free speech|freedom of speech	1	0	0	n	2	0	0.34
ID / Identification	id|identification	6	1	0.17	nnnnYn	2	0	0.3
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	2	0	0	nn	2	0	0.29
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	11	2	0.18	nnYnnYnnnn	2	0	0.26
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	11	3	0.27	YYnnnnnnnn	2	1	0.25
America First	america first	17	3	0.18	nnnnnnnnnn	2	0	0.25
Epic Fury	epic fury	5	0	0	nnnnn	2	0	0.2
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	21	3	0.14	nnnnnnYnnn	2	1	0.15