# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2026-04-14 · 28 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26APR14 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:53:12Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-14 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-01-08 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26APR14 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Turning Point Tour at the University of Georgia, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
American Dream	american dream	16	13	0.81	YYYYYYYYnY	2	0	0.71	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	14	10	0.71	YnYnYYYnYY	2	2	0.64	yes
Usha	usha	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	2	0	0.59	yes
Democrat	democrat	18	13	0.72	nYYYYYnYnn	2	2	0.57	yes
Biden	biden	28	20	0.71	YnYYnYYnnn	2	2	0.57	yes
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	5	3	0.6	YYnYn	2	1	0.54	yes
College / University	college|university	1	1	1	Y	2	0	0.52	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	8	5	0.62	YYYYnnYn	2	1	0.52	yes
Campaign	campaign	0	0			2	0	0.52	yes
SAVE Act / SAVE America	save act|save america	0	0			2	0	0.52	yes
Fraud	fraud	13	7	0.54	nYYnnYnYnn	2	1	0.51	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	11	7	0.64	YYYnnnYYnY	2	0	0.5	no
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech	free speech|freedom of speech	0	0			2	0	0.48	no
Election	election	8	4	0.5	YnnYYnYn	2	0	0.46	yes
Uranium	uranium	2	1	0.5	nY	2	0	0.46	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	0	0			2	0	0.44	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	11	5	0.45	YYnnYnnYnY	2	1	0.42	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0			2	0	0.42	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	11	4	0.36	nnYnnnnYYn	2	1	0.41	yes
Iran	iran	8	3	0.38	YnnYnYnn	2	0	0.39	yes
Tariff	tariff	20	7	0.35	nnnYnnnYnY	2	0	0.36	no
ID / Identification	id|identification	5	1	0.2	nnnnY	2	0	0.34	no
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	2	0	0	nn	2	1	0.31	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	9	2	0.22	nnnYnnYnn	2	0	0.3	no
America First	america first	15	3	0.2	YYnnnnnnnn	2	0	0.28	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	10	3	0.3	YYYnnnnnnn	2	1	0.27	no
Epic Fury	epic fury	4	0	0	nnnn	2	0	0.22	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	19	3	0.16	nnnnnnnnYn	2	1	0.17	no