# JD Vance (jd-vance) · presser 2026-04-07 · 20 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26APR07 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:49:31Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-07 · tn/th last 2 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01..2026-01-08 (under 2 presser transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26APR07: no shared template (a count or duration market, or a label the rule words differently); its rules text: /api/v1/events/k:KXVANCEMENTION-26APR07
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	2	2	1	YY	2	2	0.58	hist	no
Biden	biden	26	20	0.77	YnYnYYnYYn	2	2	0.58	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	11	7	0.64	YYnYYnnYnY	2	1	0.53	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	5	2	0.4	nnnYY	2	1	0.44	hist	yes
Oil	oil	3	1	0.33	nnY	2	0	0.4	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	8	3	0.38	nYYnnYnn	2	1	0.39	hist	yes
Ukraine / Ukrainian	ukraine|ukrainian	0	0			2	0	0.36	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	8	2	0.25	YnnYnnnn	2	1	0.31	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	6	1	0.17	nnnYnn	2	0	0.3	hist	yes
America First	america first	14	3	0.21	nYYnnnnnnn	2	0	0.27	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	3	0	0	nnn	2	0	0.27	hist	yes
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	0	0			2	0	0.27	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	17	2	0.12	nnnnnnnnnn	2	1	0.18	hist	yes
Deal / Settle	deal|settle	0	0			2	0	0.43	prior	yes
Democracy	democracy	0	0			2	0	0.43	prior	yes
F-15	f 15	0	0			2	0	0.43	prior	no
NASA / Moon	moon|nasa	0	0			2	0	0.43	prior	no
NATO	nato	0	0			2	0	0.43	prior	no
Rescue / Rescued	rescue|rescued	0	0			2	0	0.43	prior	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	0	0			2	0	0.43	prior	yes