# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2025-09-24 · 45 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-25SEP24 · P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-north-carolina-on-september-24 · as_of 2026-10-25T04:30:05Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-09-24 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-25SEP24 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of remarks at Roush Hangar in Concord, North Carolina on September 24th, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-in-north-carolina-on-september-24 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
# rows 1-42 of 45 by p · more: offset=42 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Manufacturing	manufacturing	1	K	4	4	1	YYYY	0.63	hist	no
God 3+ times	god#3	3	P	2	2	1	YY	0.6	hist	yes
China	china	1	KP	2	2	1	YY	0.57	hist	no
Thousand / Million / Billion 5+ times	billion|million|thousand#5	5	P	0	0			0.56	hist	no
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
Washington / DC	dc|washington	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Charlie / Kirk	charlie|kirk	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	yes
Wage	wage	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	K	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.49	hist	yes
Housing	housing	1	K	0	0			0.49	hist	no
DC / Capital	capital|dc	1	K	0	0			0.48	hist	yes
Tax on Tips	tax on tip	1	K	2	1	0.5	nY	0.43	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	hist	yes
Election	election	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	hist	no
Energy	energy	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.4	hist	yes
Immigration	immigration	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.4	hist	yes
Political Violence	political violence	1	KP	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.39	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	1	P	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.39	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	KP	4	2	0.5	YnYn	0.38	hist	no
Economy	economy	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.37	hist	no
American Dream	american dream	1	K	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.37	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.32	hist	no
Trump / President 20+ times	president|trump#20	20	P	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	yes
Antifa	antifa	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	no
Border	border	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	no
Middle Class	middle class	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	no
Trade	trade	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist	no
Gas	gas	1	K	2	0	0	nn	0.25	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	4	0	0	nnnn	0.23	hist	no
America / American 30+ times	america|american#30	30	P	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Autism	autism	1	P	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Charlie / Kirk 10+ times	charlie|kirk#10	10	P	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Chief / Panther	chief|panther	1	P	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Crap / Shit	crap|shit	1	P	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Jimmy / Kimmel	jimmy|kimmel	1	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Job 15+ times	job#15	15	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Drug	drug	1	K	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Iryna / Zarutska	iryna|zarutska	1	K	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Memphis	memphis	1	K	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Michael / Whatley	michael|whatley	1	K	0	0			0.38	prior	yes