# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2025-09-17 · 30 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-25SEP17 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:13:18Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-09-17 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-25SEP17 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} during his Visit to the Manufacturing Facility in Howell, Michigan on September 17th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	3	3	1	YYY	0.61	hist	no
Manufacturing	manufacturing	3	3	1	YYY	0.58	hist	yes
Energy	energy	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
Family	family	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Immigration	immigration	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
Security	security	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Small Business	small business	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
Worker	worker	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
China	china	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Economy	economy	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.47	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.41	hist	no
American Dream	american dream	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	yes
Gas	gas	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Infrastructure	infrastructure	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Tax on Tips	tax on tip	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	yes
Border	border	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Charlie / Kirk	charlie|kirk	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Democrat	democrat	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Election	election	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Factory / Plant	factory|plant	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Home / Housing	home|housing	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Investment	investment	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Middle Class	middle class	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Overtime	overtime	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Strong	strong	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Trade	trade	0	0			0.39	prior	no
UK / United Kingdom	uk|united kingdom	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Wage	wage	0	0			0.39	prior	yes