# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2025-07-16 · 25 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-25JUL16 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:59:52Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-07-16 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-25JUL16 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Remarks on the passage of the Big Beautiful Bill Act originally scheduled for July 16 in West Pittston, Pennsylvania, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	2	2	1	YY	0.5	hist	yes
Artificial Intelligence / AI	ai|artificial intelligence	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	no
Iran	iran	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.39	hist	no
Israel	israel	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.39	hist	no
Autopen	autopen	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Child Care	child care	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Coal	coal	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Energy	energy	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Family	family	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Gambling	gambling	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Gas	gas	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Golden Age	golden age	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Immigration	immigration	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Infrastructure	infrastructure	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Military	military	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Opportunity	opportunity	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Peace	peace	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Security	security	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Small Business	small business	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Tax on Tips	tax on tip	0	0			0.39	prior	no
War	war	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Worker	worker	0	0			0.39	prior	yes