# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2025-12-22 · 18 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-25DEC22 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:51:40Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-22 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-25DEC22 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Turning Point America Fest 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
American Dream	american dream	9	7	0.78	nYnYYYYYY	1	0	0.67	yes
Democrat	democrat	6	5	0.83	YnYYYY	1	1	0.66	yes
Biden	biden	11	9	0.82	YYnYYYYYYn	1	1	0.61	yes
Inflation	inflation	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	1	0	0.55	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	4	3	0.75	YYnY	1	0	0.55	no
Cartel / Drug	cartel|drug	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.54	yes
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.54	no
Middle East	middle east	4	2	0.5	YnnY	1	0	0.5	no
Middle Class / Working Class	middle class|working class	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	0	0.4	no
Political Violence	political violence	5	2	0.4	YnYnn	1	0	0.38	no
America First	america first	6	2	0.33	nYnnnY	1	0	0.37	yes
Tariff	tariff	10	4	0.4	YnnnYnYYnn	1	0	0.36	no
China	china	9	3	0.33	YYnnnnYnn	1	0	0.31	no
Trillion	trillion	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.28	no
ICE / Border Patrol	border patrol|ice	0	0			1	0	0.26	yes
Peace	peace	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.24	no
Woke	woke	4	0	0	nnnn	1	0	0.22	no
Radical Left	radical left	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	1	0	0.16	no