# JD Vance (jd-vance) · remarks 2025-12-17 · 20 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-25DEC17 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:30:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-17 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-25DEC17 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of remarks in Allentown Pennsylvania, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
American Dream	american dream	7	5	0.71	nYnYYYY	1	0	0.61	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	1	0	0.53	no
Border	border	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	1	0	0.53	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0			1	1	0.48	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	0	0.46	yes
Economy	economy	4	2	0.5	YnnY	1	1	0.43	yes
Tariff	tariff	9	4	0.44	YnnnYnYYn	1	0	0.4	no
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	0	0			1	0	0.4	yes
Inflation	inflation	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	0	0.39	yes
America First	america first	4	1	0.25	nYnn	1	0	0.35	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	5	2	0.4	YnYnn	1	1	0.34	no
China	china	8	3	0.38	YYnnnnYn	1	0	0.34	no
Healthcare	healthcare	6	2	0.33	nnnYnY	1	1	0.34	yes
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime	tax on overtime|tax on tip	0	0			1	0	0.34	yes
Working Class / Middle Class	middle class|working class	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.32	yes
Stock Market	stock market	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.3	no
Peace	peace	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.27	no
Drug / Cartel	cartel|drug	0	0			1	1	0.26	yes
Woke	woke	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.25	no
Radical Left	radical left	5	0	0	nnnnn	1	0	0.19	no