# United Nations (united-nations) · speech 2026-01-16 · 11 words · K k:KXUNMENTION-26JAN16 · as_of 2026-10-24T12:08:02Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-16 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXUNMENTION-26JAN16 ({word} = w of K rows): If United States representative(s) says {word} as part of The situation in the Middle East - Security Council, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
NATO / Allies	ally|nato	1	1	1	Y	0.65	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.57	hist	yes
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	no
Ayatollah / Khamenei	ayatollah|khamenei	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Diplomacy	diplomacy	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Hormuz / Gulf	gulf|hormuz	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Regime	regime	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Supreme Leader	supreme leader	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	0	0			0.49	prior	yes