# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_month by 2026-05-31 (settled) · 33 words · K k:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:53:37Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-31 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01 ({word} = w of K rows): If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# coverage no known appearances yet; the post archive does not cover the window (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
# rows 1-31 of 33 by p · more: offset=31 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	80	52	0.65	YnYYYnnnYY	1	0	0.78	hist	0	0	yes	1
Pelosi	pelosi	9	8	0.89	YYYYYYYYn	1	0	0.74	hist	0	0	no	1
Newscum	newscum	58	35	0.6	YYYnYYYnnn	1	0	0.73	hist	0	0	yes	1
Genius	genius	15	11	0.73	nnYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.71	hist	0	0	yes	1
Gulf of America	gulf of america	22	14	0.64	YYYYYYnnYY	1	1	0.69	hist	0	0	yes	1
Nine War / Ninth War	nine war|ninth war	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.66	hist	0	0	no	1
Predict / Prediction	predict|prediction	39	26	0.67	YYYYYYYYnY	1	0	0.66	hist	0	0	yes	1
Trump Derangement Syndrome	trump derangement syndrome	12	8	0.67	YYYYYYnYnY	1	0	0.64	hist	0	0	yes	1
Moon	moon	12	4	0.33	YnYnYYnnnn	1	1	0.62	hist	0	0	yes	1
Autism	autism	24	13	0.54	YnYnnYYYnn	1	0	0.61	hist	0	0	yes	1
Who are you with / Where are you from	where are you from|who are you with	23	13	0.57	YnYYnYnnYn	1	1	0.6	hist	0	0	yes	1
Make Iran Great Again	make iran great again	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	0	0.59	hist	0	0	no	1
World Cup	world cup	26	12	0.46	nYnnnnYnYY	1	0	0.58	hist	0	0	yes	1
Dead Country	dead country	11	4	0.36	nYnnYnnnnY	1	0	0.58	hist	0	0	yes	1
UFO / UAP	uap|ufo	7	2	0.29	nYYnnnn	1	0	0.58	hist	0	0	yes	1
Greenland	greenland	45	18	0.4	nnYnnnnYYn	1	1	0.57	hist	0	0	no	1
DEI / Woke	dei|woke	16	6	0.38	YYnnnnYnYn	1	1	0.57	hist	0	0	yes	1
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome	tds|trump derangement syndrome	35	21	0.6	YYYnnnYYYY	1	0	0.56	hist	0	0	yes	1
UFC	ufc	26	11	0.42	YnnYnnnnnY	1	0	0.54	hist	0	0	yes	1
Space Force	space force	17	9	0.53	YYYnnnnYYY	1	0	0.52	hist	0	0	yes	1
Palestine / Palestinian	palestine|palestinian	6	3	0.5	YYnnYn	1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Epstein	epstein	115	28	0.24	YnnYnnnnnn	1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	no	1
Turning Point	turning point	9	5	0.56	YYYYnnnnY	1	0	0.47	hist	0	0	no	1
Epstein Island	epstein island	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.47	hist	0	0	no	1
Moscow	moscow	11	4	0.36	YYnYnnYnnn	1	0	0.46	hist	0	0	no	1
Goat	goat	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.45	hist	0	0	yes	1
Fat shot / Ozempic	fat shot|ozempic	24	8	0.33	nnYYYnnYnn	1	0	0.42	hist	0	0	yes	1
Golden Age	golden age	13	5	0.38	YYYnnnnnnn	1	0	0.41	hist	0	0	yes	1
Third Term	third term	9	2	0.22	YnnnnYnnn	1	0	0.4	hist	0	0	no	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	380	38	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.38	hist	0	0	yes	1
Stimulus	stimulus	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	1	0	0.33	hist	0	0	no	1