# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_month by 2026-09-30 (settled) · 50 words · K k:KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01 · as_of 2026-10-26T07:06:20Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-30 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2026-09-22..2026-09-25 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26OCT01 ({word} = w of K rows): If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# coverage 35 of 45 known appearances transcribed (as of 2026-10-26T00:25:48Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
# text pending: 4 appearances since 2026-09-28 without a transcript yet (tn/th leave them out); newest donald-trump:2026-09-30:remarks-announcement: White House video captions, then the official transcript (American Presidency Project) (pending; eta 2026-11-12T04:59:00Z)
# rows 1-33 of 50 by p · more: offset=33 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	agree	lower_bound
Amazon / AMZN	amazon|amzn	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.68	hist	2	3	yes	1	
Fox News	fox new	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.68	hist	11	14	yes	1	
Google / GOOG / GOOGL	goog|googl|google	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.68	hist	4	6	yes	1	
New York Times / NYT	new york time|nyt	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.68	hist	6	8	yes	1	
Nvidia / NVDA	nvda|nvidia	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.68	hist	3	7	yes	1	
Dell	dell	11	9	0.82	YYYnYnYYYY	8	0	0.68	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Apple / AAPL	aapl|apple	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.67	hist	4	4	yes	1	
Intel / INTC	intc|intel	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.67	hist	7	8	yes	1	
Micron / MU	micron|mu	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.67	hist	0	1	no		1
CNN	cnn	8	3	0.38	nnYnnYYn	8	1	0.67	hist	17	20	yes	1	
General Motors / GM	general motor|gm	4	2	0.5	nYnY	8	0	0.63	hist	4	4	yes	1	
Meta	meta	4	2	0.5	nYYn	8	0	0.63	hist	0	2	yes		1
SpaceX / SPCX	spacex|spcx	2	1	0.5	Yn	8	0	0.62	hist	0	1	no		1
TSMC / TSM	tsm|tsmc	2	1	0.5	Yn	8	0	0.62	hist	0	0	no		1
UFC	ufc	44	20	0.45	YnnnnYYnYY	8	0	0.61	hist	4	4	yes	1	
Boeing	boeing	15	6	0.4	YnnYYYnYnn	8	0	0.6	hist	4	5	yes	1	
Toyota	toyota	8	3	0.38	nYnnnnYY	8	0	0.6	hist	4	4	yes	1	
Deere	deere	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.59	hist	0	0	no		1
Honda / HMC	hmc|honda	0	0			8	0	0.57	hist	4	4	yes	1	
AMD	amd	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.56	hist	0	1	no		1
X / Twitter	twitter|x	0	0			8	0	0.56	hist	2	7	yes	1	
Microsoft / MSFT	microsoft|msft	2	1	0.5	nY	8	0	0.55	hist	1	2	yes	1	
Pfizer / PFE	pfe|pfizer	2	1	0.5	nY	8	0	0.55	hist	1	1	yes	1	
eBay	ebay	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.55	hist	0	0	no		1
Chevron / CVX	chevron|cvx	0	0			8	0	0.55	hist	4	4	yes	1	
Hyundai / HYMTF	hymtf|hyundai	0	0			8	0	0.55	hist	0	0	no		1
Oracle / ORCL	oracle|orcl	0	0			8	0	0.55	hist	0	0	no		1
ExxonMobil / XOM	exxonmobil|xom	2	1	0.5	nY	8	0	0.54	hist	2	2	yes	1	
BBC	bbc	4	1	0.25	nYnn	8	0	0.54	hist	0	0	yes		1
Netflix / NFLX	netflix|nflx	0	0			8	0	0.54	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Paramount / PSKY	paramount|psky	0	0			8	0	0.54	hist	0	0	no		1
Eli Lilly / LLY	eli lilly|lly	0	0			8	0	0.53	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Turning Point	turning point	10	5	0.5	YYYYnnnnYn	8	0	0.47	hist	0	1	yes		1