# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · next window_month, open until 2026-10-31 · 50 words · K k:KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26NOV01 · as_of 2026-10-25T16:47:13Z
# scope K named · n/y settled · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2026-09-22..2026-10-24 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPSAYCOMPANY-26NOV01 ({word} = w of K rows): If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Nov 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# coverage 6 of 31 known appearances transcribed; the post archive does not cover the window (as of 2026-10-25T16:02:18Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
# text pending: 1 appearance since 2026-10-25 without a transcript yet (tn/th leave them out); newest donald-trump:2026-10-25:rally-michigan: the rally video's captions (his turns only) (pending; eta 2026-10-26T06:59:00Z)
# rows 1-31 of 50 by p · more: offset=31 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	agree	lower_bound
Dell	dell	15	13	0.87	YnYYYYYYYY	8	1	0.74	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Fox News	fox new	4	4	1	YYYY	8	0	0.71	hist	14	20	yes	1	
Google / GOOG / GOOGL	goog|googl|google	4	4	1	YYYY	8	4	0.71	hist	11	11	yes	1	
Intel / INTC	intc|intel	4	4	1	YYYY	8	0	0.71	hist	1	1	yes	1	
New York Times / NYT	new york time|nyt	4	4	1	YYYY	8	1	0.71	hist	8	13	yes	1	
Nvidia / NVDA	nvda|nvidia	4	4	1	YYYY	8	0	0.71	hist	0	0	yes		1
Amazon / AMZN	amazon|amzn	3	3	1	YYY	8	0	0.71	hist	2	2			
Apple / AAPL	aapl|apple	4	4	1	YYYY	8	1	0.7	hist	4	6	yes	1	
General Motors / GM	general motor|gm	6	4	0.67	nYnYYY	8	0	0.68	hist	0	0	yes		1
Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz	mercede|mercedes benz	4	4	1	YYYY	8	1	0.67	hist	1	4	yes	1	
UFC	ufc	48	24	0.5	nYYnYYYYYY	8	1	0.66	hist	1	1	yes	1	
CNN	cnn	10	5	0.5	nnYnnYYYnY	8	5	0.66	hist	13	19	yes	1	
Micron / MU	micron|mu	4	3	0.75	YYnY	8	0	0.65	hist	0	0	yes		1
Toyota	toyota	11	6	0.55	YnnnnYYYYY	8	1	0.65	hist	1	1	yes	1	
MS NOW / MSNBC	ms now|msnbc	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.64	hist	1	2	yes	1	
Eli Lilly / LLY	eli lilly|lly	2	2	1	YY	8	0	0.63	hist	0	0	yes		1
Chevron / CVX	chevron|cvx	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.63	hist	0	0			
Honda / HMC	hmc|honda	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.63	hist	0	0			
Netflix / NFLX	netflix|nflx	1	1	1	Y	8	0	0.63	hist	0	0			
X / Twitter	twitter|x	1	1	1	Y	8	1	0.63	hist	1	38			
Meta	meta	7	5	0.71	nYYnYYY	8	4	0.62	hist	5	5	yes	1	
BBC	bbc	5	2	0.4	nYnnY	8	0	0.62	hist	0	0			
Microsoft / MSFT	microsoft|msft	4	3	0.75	nYYY	8	1	0.61	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Pfizer / PFE	pfe|pfizer	4	3	0.75	nYYY	8	0	0.61	hist	0	0	yes		1
ExxonMobil / XOM	exxonmobil|xom	3	2	0.67	nYY	8	0	0.61	hist	0	0			
AMD	amd	3	2	0.67	YnY	8	0	0.56	hist	0	0	yes		1
Turning Point	turning point	11	6	0.55	YYYnnnnYnY	8	0	0.56	hist	0	0			
Hyundai / HYMTF	hymtf|hyundai	2	1	0.5	nY	8	0	0.56	hist	0	0	yes		1
eBay	ebay	3	1	0.33	nnY	8	0	0.56	hist	0	0	yes		1
Boeing	boeing	21	10	0.48	nYnnYnYYYn	8	1	0.55	hist	2	5	yes	1	
Paramount / PSKY	paramount|psky	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.55	hist	0	0