# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-07-19 (settled) · 50 words · K k:KXTRUMPSAY-26JUL20 · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-july-13-july-19-20260710153927788 · as_of 2026-10-25T00:05:59Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-07-19 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2026-07-08..2026-07-17 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1 · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPSAY-26JUL20 ({word} = w of K rows): If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump before Jul 20, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-july-13-july-19-20260710153927788 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage 8 of 12 known appearances transcribed (as of 2026-10-22T15:19:57Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
# rows 1-24 of 50 by p · more: offset=24 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	agree	lower_bound
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	K	98	71	0.72	YYnYYnnYnn	8	1	0.84	hist	7	7	yes	1	
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	K	122	77	0.63	nnnnnnnnYn	8	1	0.83	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Landslide	landslide	K	30	23	0.77	nYYnYYYYnY	8	0	0.8	hist	0	3	no		1
Transgender	transgender	K	170	92	0.54	nnnnnnnnYn	8	2	0.77	hist	5	5	yes	1	
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome	tds|trump derangement syndrome	K	44	28	0.64	YYnYYYYYYn	8	0	0.7	hist	0	0	yes		1
Gianni / Infantino	gianni|infantino	K	6	5	0.83	nYYYYY	8	1	0.67	hist	17	17	yes	1	
Patriot	patriot	P	10	8	0.8	YYnYYYYYYn	8	3	0.67	hist	4	5	yes	1	
Rigged Election / Stolen Election	rigged election|stolen election	K	38	27	0.71	YnYnYYYYnY	8	1	0.66	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Protect America / Save America	protect america|save america	P	2	2	1	YY	8	3	0.65	hist	4	4	yes	1	
Truth	truth	P	2	2	1	YY	8	2	0.65	hist	2	3	yes	1	
Melania	melania	KP	62	38	0.61	nYYnnYnYnn	8	1	0.65	hist	2	2	yes	1	
Bibi / Netanyahu	bibi|netanyahu	K	55	23	0.42	YYYnYnYYnn	8	0	0.64	hist	0	0	yes		1
Ballroom	ballroom	K	90	32	0.36	YnnYnYYnYY	8	1	0.64	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Who are you with / Where are you from	where are you from|who are you with	K	32	20	0.62	YnnnYYYYYY	8	2	0.63	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Trump Account	trump account	K	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	8	1	0.62	hist	2	2	yes	1	
Cuba / Cuban	cuba|cuban	KP	13	7	0.54	nYYYYYnnYn	8	0	0.62	hist	0	1	yes		1
Predict	predict	P	0	0			8	0	0.62	hist	0	0	no		1
Autopen / Auto Pen	auto pen|autopen	K	51	32	0.63	nnnYYYnYnn	8	0	0.61	hist	0	0	no		1
Communist / Communism	communism|communist	P	61	27	0.44	YYnnnnnnYn	8	1	0.61	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Newscum	newscum	K	68	40	0.59	nnnYYnnnnY	8	0	0.6	hist	0	0	no		1
Fraud	fraud	K	54	21	0.39	nnnYnnnnnY	8	1	0.56	hist	10	11	yes	1	
American Flag Blue	american flag blue	K	9	3	0.33	nYYnnYnnn	8	0	0.5	hist	0	0	no		1
God	god	P	8	4	0.5	YYnnnnYY	8	1	0.49	hist	3	6	yes	1	
Great Leader	great leader	P	2	1	0.5	Yn	8	1	0.49	hist	7	7	yes	1