# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-08-09 (settled) · 44 words · K k:KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG10 · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-august-3-august-9-20260731171342111 · as_of 2026-10-24T00:31:40Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-08-09 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2026-08-02..2026-08-07 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1 · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPSAY-26AUG10 ({word} = w of K rows): If {word}, or a plural or possessive form of {word}, is stated by Donald Trump before Aug 10, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-august-3-august-9-20260731171342111 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage 7 of 10 known appearances transcribed (as of 2026-10-21T04:05:53Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
# rows 1-23 of 44 by p · more: offset=23 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	agree	lower_bound
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	KP	105	77	0.73	YnYnYYnYYY	8	2	0.84	hist	4	4	yes	1	
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	KP	143	90	0.63	nYnYnYnnnn	8	2	0.8	hist	3	3	yes	1	
Landslide	landslide	K	43	30	0.7	nYYYnnnYYn	8	2	0.74	hist	4	4	yes	1	
Transgender	transgender	KP	197	106	0.54	YnYnYnnnYn	8	1	0.74	hist	5	5	yes	1	
Trump Account	trump account	P	11	9	0.82	YYYnYYYYnY	8	1	0.73	hist	4	7	yes	1	
Ballroom	ballroom	KP	99	39	0.39	YYYYYYYYnn	8	2	0.71	hist	12	12	yes	1	
Rigged Election / Stolen Election	rigged election|stolen election	K	41	30	0.73	nYYYYnYYYY	8	0	0.7	hist	1	1	yes	1	
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome	tds|trump derangement syndrome	K	48	31	0.65	YYYYYnYYYn	8	1	0.7	hist	1	7	yes	1	
Bibi / Netanyahu	bibi|netanyahu	K	61	28	0.46	YYnYnYYYnY	8	0	0.68	hist	0	0	no		1
Who are you with / Where are you from	where are you from|who are you with	K	36	24	0.67	YYYYYYYYYY	8	2	0.67	hist	6	6	yes	1	
Melania	melania	K	70	43	0.61	nnYnnYYYYn	8	1	0.65	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Ukraine	ukraine	K	82	43	0.52	nYnYnnYYnn	8	1	0.61	hist	2	3	yes	1	
Mar-a-Lago	mar a lago	K	6	5	0.83	YYYYnY	8	0	0.6	hist	0	0	no		1
Fraud	fraud	K	70	28	0.4	nnYYnnYnnn	8	1	0.6	hist	3	5	yes	1	
Through The Roof	through the roof	P	10	6	0.6	YYYnnnYnYY	8	1	0.59	hist	2	2	yes	1	
Newscum	newscum	K	72	42	0.58	YnnnnYYnYn	8	0	0.59	hist	0	0	no		1
TikTok	tiktok	K	59	16	0.27	YnnnnYYYYY	8	0	0.57	hist	0	0	no		1
Kamala	kamala	K	36	16	0.44	nYnnYnnnYY	8	1	0.56	hist	3	3	yes	1	
Windmill	windmill	K	62	31	0.5	nYYYYYnYYn	8	1	0.54	hist	5	5	yes	1	
Golf / Golfer / Golfing	golf|golfer|golfing	K	9	4	0.44	YYYnnnnYn	8	0	0.53	hist	1	2	yes	1	
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	K	3	1	0.33	nnY	8	2	0.53	hist	15	20	yes	1	
Autopen / Auto Pen	auto pen|autopen	K	55	33	0.6	YYnYnnnnnY	8	0	0.52	hist	0	0	no		1
Cuba / Cuban	cuba|cuban	K	19	9	0.47	nnYnYnnnYn	8	0	0.52	hist	0	0	no		1