# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2026-05-14 · 23 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY14 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:12:31Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-14 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 interview transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Fox News: Hannity , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Nuclear	nuclear	140	91	0.65	YnnYYYYnYn	1	1	0.67	yes
Stock Market	stock market	72	39	0.54	YnnYYYnYnn	1	1	0.63	yes
Biden	biden	245	166	0.68	YYYYnYYnnn	1	1	0.59	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	33	17	0.52	nYnnnYYnnn	1	1	0.53	yes
Blockade	blockade	12	5	0.42	YYnYnnYnYn	1	0	0.51	yes
Tariff	tariff	169	108	0.64	nYnnYYYnnn	1	1	0.5	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	6	3	0.5	nnYYYn	1	1	0.49	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	36	14	0.39	YnnYYnYnnY	1	0	0.49	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.48	yes
Hottest	hottest	221	118	0.53	YYYYYnYYYn	1	1	0.46	yes
Soybean	soybean	7	3	0.43	YnnnYYn	1	0	0.46	yes
Venezuela / Maduro	maduro|venezuela	13	5	0.38	nnYnYnYYnn	1	1	0.46	yes
Farm / Farmer	farm|farmer	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.44	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	143	56	0.39	YYYnnYYnnn	1	1	0.42	no
Elon / Jensen / Cook	cook|elon|jensen	0	0			1	1	0.41	yes
Drone	drone	43	11	0.26	YYYYnYYnnn	1	0	0.4	no
Invest / Invested / Investment	invest|invested|investment	0	0			1	1	0.39	yes
Boeing / Plane	boeing|plane	0	0			1	1	0.38	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	33	9	0.27	nnYnnnYYnn	1	1	0.35	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	20	5	0.25	nYnYnnnnnn	1	0	0.34	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	45	16	0.36	nYnnnYnYnn	1	1	0.33	no
Taiwan	taiwan	14	2	0.14	nnYnnnnnnn	1	0	0.33	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	363	38	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.09	no