# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-11 · 31 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11 · as_of 2026-10-26T05:01:01Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-11 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26MAY11 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of THE PRESIDENT hosts the 2026 National Football Champions, Indiana University , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
250	250	20	14	0.7	YYYYnYYnYY	1	1	0.7	no
Landslide	landslide	9	7	0.78	YYYnYYYnY	1	0	0.66	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	138	90	0.65	YYYnnYYYYn	1	1	0.57	yes
Biden	biden	241	165	0.68	nnYnYYYYnY	1	1	0.54	no
Democrat	democrat	134	91	0.68	YYYYYYYYnn	1	1	0.54	no
Saban	saban	3	3	1	YYY	1	0	0.53	no
Oval Office	oval office	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	1	1	0.53	yes
Election	election	85	51	0.6	YYYYnnYnnY	1	1	0.53	yes
Olympic / Olympics	olympic	37	21	0.57	YnYYYYYYYn	1	0	0.53	no
Transgender	transgender	114	65	0.57	nYnYYnYYnY	1	1	0.48	no
Rich	rich	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.45	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	3	1	0.33	nnY	1	1	0.45	yes
Hottest	hottest	218	116	0.53	YnYYYYYYnY	1	1	0.44	yes
Executive Order	executive order	2	1	0.5	nY	1	1	0.44	no
Stock Market	stock market	69	38	0.55	nYnYnnYYYn	1	1	0.42	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	31	17	0.55	YnnYnnnYYn	1	1	0.41	no
Redistrict / Redistricting	redistrict|redistricting	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.4	no
Golf / Golfer / Golfing	golf|golfer|golfing	6	3	0.5	YYYnnn	1	1	0.39	no
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement	endorse|endorsed|endorsement	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	0	0.39	yes
NIL	nil	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	0	0.39	yes
Supreme Court	supreme court	43	16	0.37	YnnYnnnYnY	1	1	0.38	no
NFL	nfl	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.38	yes
McDonald / McDonald's	mcdonald	33	17	0.52	nnnnnnnYnn	1	0	0.33	no
Kickoff	kickoff	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	0	0.33	no
Heisman	heisman	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.33	yes
World Cup	world cup	20	9	0.45	nYYnnnnYnn	1	0	0.32	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.3	no
Ballroom	ballroom	63	20	0.32	nYYnnYYnYn	1	0	0.29	yes
Cuba / Cuban	cuba|cuban	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.27	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	46	12	0.26	nnnYYnnYnn	1	0	0.25	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	360	38	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.04	no