# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-01-30 · 28 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26JAN30 · as_of 2026-10-25T05:50:24Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-30 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26JAN30 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on January 29th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	163	119	0.73	YYYnYYnnYn	1	1	0.64	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	95	63	0.66	YYYYYYYYYY	1	1	0.57	hist	no
Iran	iran	40	27	0.68	YYYnnYYYYn	1	1	0.56	hist	no
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	18	11	0.61	YnnYYYYYnY	1	1	0.56	hist	no
China	china	105	68	0.65	YYYnYYnnnY	1	1	0.55	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	129	74	0.57	YYYYnYnnYn	1	1	0.55	hist	no
Election	election	60	36	0.6	nYYnnYYYnY	1	1	0.52	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	19	11	0.58	YnnnnYYYYn	1	1	0.52	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	90	38	0.42	YnnYnnnnnY	1	1	0.51	hist	no
Paid Agitator / Professional Agitator	paid agitator|professional agitator	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.48	hist	no
Credit	credit	9	3	0.33	nYnnYnnnY	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Venezuela / Colombia	colombia|venezuela	0	0			1	1	0.44	hist	no
Home / Housing	home|housing	10	4	0.4	YYnnYnnnnY	1	1	0.43	hist	no
Scholarship	scholarship	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.4	hist	no
Cocaine	cocaine	0	0			1	0	0.4	hist	no
Greenland	greenland	34	14	0.41	YYYYnYnnnn	1	1	0.39	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	57	20	0.35	nnnYnnnnnn	1	1	0.38	hist	no
Woke / DEI	dei|woke	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	1	0.37	hist	no
Disaster	disaster	23	10	0.43	nYnnYnnnYn	1	1	0.36	hist	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	25	6	0.24	nnnnYYYnnn	1	1	0.36	hist	yes
Radical Left	radical left	43	18	0.42	YnnnYnnnnY	1	1	0.35	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	43	18	0.42	nnYYnnYYYn	1	1	0.34	hist	no
Too Late	too late	13	3	0.23	nYYnnnnnnn	1	1	0.34	hist	no
Teacher	teacher	0	0			1	0	0.34	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	14	6	0.43	YYYnYYYnnn	1	1	0.33	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	9	4	0.44	YnYYnnYnn	1	0	0.29	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	249	24	0.1	YYnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.06	hist	no
Alcohol	alcohol	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior	yes