# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2026-01-14 · 30 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26JAN14 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:34:12Z # scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-14 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets # rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26JAN14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of remarks at Detroit Economic Club, then the market resolves to Yes. w key n y rate l10 p p_src res Biden biden 146 110 0.75 YnnYYYYYYY 0.71 hist yes Big Beautiful Bill big beautiful bill 27 19 0.7 YnYYYYYYYY 0.64 hist yes Tariff tariff 104 72 0.69 YYnYnnYYYY 0.63 hist yes Trillion trillion 50 36 0.72 nYnYnnnYYY 0.62 hist yes Eight War eight war 31 20 0.65 YYYnYYnYYY 0.62 hist yes AI / Artificial Intelligence ai|artificial intelligence 80 35 0.44 YYYYYYnnYY 0.59 hist yes Nuclear nuclear 78 50 0.64 nYYnYYYnYY 0.58 hist yes Drill Baby Drill drill baby drill 38 26 0.68 YYYYYnnYYn 0.57 hist no Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime tax on overtime|tax on tip 2 2 1 YY 0.55 hist yes Hottest hottest 112 62 0.55 YYnnnnYYYY 0.54 hist yes Electric / Electricity electric|electricity 0 0 0.53 hist yes Home / Housing home|housing 1 1 1 Y 0.52 hist yes China china 96 63 0.66 nnnYnYnnYY 0.5 hist yes Somali / Somalia / Somalian somali|somalia|somalian 11 6 0.55 nYYnYYnnYn 0.5 hist yes Affordable / Affordability affordability|affordable 28 12 0.43 YYYnnnnnYn 0.48 hist yes Ukraine ukraine 39 22 0.56 YYnnYnnnYY 0.47 hist no Greenland greenland 16 5 0.31 nnYnnnnnYn 0.47 hist no Automobile automobile 1 0 0 n 0.46 hist yes Oil / Gas / Gasoline gas|gasoline|oil 3 1 0.33 nnY 0.44 hist yes Credit credit 1 0 0 n 0.44 hist yes Manufacturing / Manufacture manufacture|manufacturing 0 0 0.44 hist yes Trump trump 36 18 0.5 YYnYnnnYnY 0.43 hist yes Fraud fraud 6 3 0.5 YnYYnn 0.42 hist yes Too Late too late 9 3 0.33 nYnnYYnnn 0.42 hist no Inflation inflation 41 17 0.41 YnYnnnnnYY 0.41 hist yes Rare Earth / Mineral mineral|rare earth 24 10 0.42 nnnnYYYnnY 0.4 hist yes Radical Left radical left 37 16 0.43 nnYYnnYnnn 0.39 hist yes Maduro maduro 42 15 0.36 YYnnnYYYYY 0.37 hist no Crypto / Bitcoin bitcoin|crypto 228 20 0.09 nnnnnnnYnn 0.14 hist no Donroe Doctrine donroe doctrine 0 0 0.47 prior no